SYNOPSIS for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas
429 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
SYNOPSIS......
A cold front will continue moving E through midweek.
The northern part of the front will continue to move eastward
before stalling and dissipating through midweek, while the western
part lifts northward across the Bahamas and Florida while
dissipating. A cold front may move into the waters off northeast
Florida by late Fri night into early Sat morning.
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*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Monday, October 12, 2026 9:15:50 AM
| | | 10/12/2026 | Sky | Temp F | Wind kts | Humdty | Rain in. | Barometer | | Mon-12-AM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 83.7 | ESE @20.5 | 80 % | 0.0 | 1018.0 |
| Mon-04-AM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 83.1 | SE @11.9 | 80 % | 0.0 | 1016.0 |
| Mon-08-AM: | "Sunny | 83.3 | SSE @2.5 | 76 % | 0.0 | 1016.0 |
| Mon-12-PM: | "Sunny | 84.8 | ESE @5.8 | 71 % | 0.0 | 1016.0 |
| Mon-04-PM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 84.5 | ENE @6.8 | 72 % | 0.0 | 1014.0 |
| Mon-08-PM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 83.4 | NNE @14.8 | 75 % | 0.01 | 1014.0 |
| | | 10/13/2026 | Sky | Temp F | Wind kts | Humdty | Rain in. | Barometer | | Tue-12-AM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 82.7 | NE @11.9 | 77 % | 0.0 | 1015.0 |
| Tue-04-AM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 81.2 | NNE @11.5 | 80 % | 0.0 | 1013.0 |
| Tue-08-AM: | "Light rain shower | 80.8 | NNE @13.3 | 78 % | 0.01 | 1015.0 |
| Tue-12-PM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 81.9 | NE @16.2 | 75 % | 0.0 | 1016.0 |
| Tue-04-PM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 81.8 | NE @17.6 | 76 % | 0.0 | 1014.0 |
| Tue-08-PM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 81.3 | NE @18.7 | 78 % | 0.0 | 1015.0 |
| | | 10/14/2026 | Sky | Temp F | Wind kts | Humdty | Rain in. | Barometer | | Wed-12-AM: | "Overcast | 80.9 | NE @18.4 | 78 % | 0.0 | 1015.0 |
| Wed-04-AM: | "Moderate rain | 80.6 | ENE @12.6 | 78 % | 0.1 | 1014.0 |
| Wed-08-AM: | "Overcast | 81.8 | E @9.4 | 74 % | 0.0 | 1016.0 |
| Wed-12-PM: | "Patchy rain nearby | 83.5 | E @10.1 | 71 % | 0.01 | 1017.0 |
| Wed-04-PM: | "Sunny | 84.1 | E @15.1 | 68 % | 0.0 | 1015.0 |
| Wed-08-PM: | "Clear | 83.2 | E @17.6 | 73 % | 0.0 | 1016.0 |
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Lightning Map
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NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W ***
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Tides times are in Local Eastern: LST or LDT as appropriate.
| DATE_ | DAY_ | TIME_ | PRED_FT | HIGH_LOW | | 10/12/2026 | Mon | 03:44 AM | 0.21 | L | | 10/12/2026 | Mon | 04:26 PM | 0.34 | L | | 10/12/2026 | Mon | 09:56 AM | 3.41 | H | | 10/12/2026 | Mon | 10:12 PM | 2.78 | H | | 10/13/2026 | Tue | 04:21 AM | 0.30 | L | | 10/13/2026 | Tue | 05:08 PM | 0.46 | L | | 10/13/2026 | Tue | 10:35 AM | 3.30 | H | | 10/13/2026 | Tue | 10:51 PM | 2.62 | H | | 10/14/2026 | Wed | 04:59 AM | 0.43 | L | | 10/14/2026 | Wed | 05:51 PM | 0.61 | L | | 10/14/2026 | Wed | 11:16 AM | 3.16 | H | | 10/14/2026 | Wed | 11:32 PM | 2.46 | H | | 10/15/2026 | Thu | 05:39 AM | 0.58 | L | | 10/15/2026 | Thu | 06:36 PM | 0.77 | L | | 10/15/2026 | Thu | 11:59 AM | 3.02 | H |
Pelican Harbour Tides
More Bahamas Tide Stations
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*** new *** NOAA Sea State
GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA
(Updated in real time from NOAA)
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SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20nm to 60nm:
AMZ575-121915-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
219 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
TODAY
Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave
Detail: Northwest 3 feet at 7 seconds and south 2 feet at
3 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms this morning.
TONIGHT
North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave
Detail: Northeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and south 1 foot at
3 seconds.
TUESDAY
Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Wave Detail: North 3 feet at 7 seconds and south 2 feet at
3 seconds.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to
3 feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 feet at 6 seconds and south
1 foot at 3 seconds. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
WEDNESDAY
Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wave Detail: Northeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and southeast 2 feet
at 3 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wave Detail: Northeast 3 feet at 6 seconds and south 2 feet at
3 seconds. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. A
chance of showers.
THURSDAY
East winds around 10 knots. Seas 3 feet. A slight
chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to
10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers.
FRIDAY
East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of
showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 feet. A
chance of showers. A chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then
a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
Winds and seas higher in and near thunderstorms.
$$
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Net controller`s Messages:
note: *** Travel Advisory Bahamas Level 2 *** https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/traveladvisories/traveladvisories/turks-and-caicos-travel-advisory.html BE PREPARED FOR WORST CASE SCENARIOS... ======
*** Cruisers Net in Hopetown *** 8:15 AM channel 68 VHF Our Condolences go out for Will Heyer * Your cruiser’s net controller. Also in our hall of Fame is Chris Prewitt, he still sails in Vera Beach FL. Ham radio call sign KZ4MI
Need Volunteers for morning Cruisers net * Who’s next up for the net? Contact us for any information. or posting notices here.
God Bless and Best of Luck getting back in course.... BB Watch for debris in area waters and harbors.
Mag Declination Calc
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Sailors - Islanders *** TRY Winlink.... A free worldwide radio email service that uses short wave.. Ham Radio Licesnce required.
Winlink radio email BarometerBob here KK4SHF or APRS @ KK4SHF-7 we are always listening.
Or Questions ask: Email BarometerBob
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA
- Updated real time ****
Hurricane models key Codes
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles west
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large but
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms, which are occurring
on the east side of the low, extending toward the westernmost Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear, at best, marginally
conducive for any development of this system during the next day or
two before upper-level winds become too strong for any further
development. Regardless, heavy rainfall is expected to continue for
the next day or two across western portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands, and some flooding is possible there as the system moves
slowly northward to north-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
AIS ships crossing your path: AIS Marine traffic
AIS-B transponders now available for pleasure craft. Your friends can watch you cross....
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