Smiley face BarometerBob.org ~ Abaco's Current Forecast    
Tuesday, September 27, 2022
( Marsh Harbour 26.54N, -77.06W , Magnetic Declination -8.39° 2019 -.07 W per year)
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SYNOPSIS for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas  521 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022  

SYNOPSIS......
 Major HURRICANE Ian near 24.0N 83.2W 952 mb at 5 PM EDT moving N at 9  kt. Maximum sustained winds 105 kt gusts 130 kt. Ian will move  across the southeast Gulf through Wed before moving inland and  weakening to TROPICAL STORM over Florida near 28.5N 81.5W Thu  afternoon. Ian will continue inland to 29.4N 81.2W Fri morning,  and 31.0N 81.1W Fri afternoon, before moving north of area  through Sat. Expect deteriorating marine conditions off  northeast Florida starting Wed, with TROPICAL STORM or HURRICANE  conditions possible through Fri night. Elsewhere moderate to  fresh E to SE winds will persist.    

*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Tuesday, September 27, 2022
 Tuesday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
ModRainSwrsDay.gif 8 AM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  98 %  79.9 °F   ESE at 13 kts  84 % 29.97   
ModRainSwrsDay.gif 2 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  98 %  88 °F   SE at 15 kts  77 % 29.95   
ModRainSwrsDay.gif 5 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  97 %  88.8 °F   SE at 15 kts  79 % 29.91   
ModRainSwrsNight.gif 8 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  96 %  86.8 °F   SE at 13 kts  80 % 29.95   
ModRainSwrsNight.gif 11 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  <1 %  82.8 °F   SE at 18 kts  81 % 29.98   
 Wednesday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
ModRainSwrsDay.gif 8 AM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  92 %  82.4 °F   SSE at 21 kts  79 % 29.93   
IsoRainSwrsDay.gif 2 PM  Light rain shower  <1 %  89.5 °F   SSE at 21 kts  79 % 29.91   
ModRainSwrsDay.gif 5 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  <1 %  89.9 °F   SSE at 18 kts  79 % 29.88   
ModRainSwrsNight.gif 8 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  88 %  87.9 °F   SSE at 17 kts  79 % 29.9   
OccLightRain.gif 11 PM  Patchy rain possible  <1 %  84.8 °F   SSE at 18 kts  78 % 29.91   
 Thursday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
OccLightRain.gif 8 AM  Patchy rain possible  <1 %  83.2 °F   S at 22 kts  78 % 29.85   
OccLightRain.gif 2 PM  Patchy rain possible  81 %  89.9 °F   S at 19 kts  77 % 29.82   
ModRainSwrsDay.gif 5 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  80 %  90.3 °F   S at 19 kts  77 % 29.79   
OccLightRain.gif 8 PM  Patchy rain possible  <1 %  88.4 °F   S at 18 kts  77 % 29.8   
OccLightRain.gif 11 PM  Patchy rain possible  78 %  85.5 °F   SSE at 19 kts  76 % 29.81   
 Friday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
IsoRainSwrsDay.gif 8 AM  Light rain shower  <1 %  82.1 °F   S at 23 kts  76 % 29.8   
OccLightRain.gif 2 PM  Patchy rain possible  73 %  86.9 °F   S at 18 kts  75 % 29.79   
OccLightRain.gif 5 PM  Patchy rain possible  72 %  86.7 °F   SSW at 18 kts  76 % 29.76   
ModRainSwrsNight.gif 8 PM  Moderate or heavy rain shower  71 %  84.8 °F   SSW at 15 kts  76 % 29.8   
OccLightRain.gif 11 PM  Patchy rain possible  70 %  83.5 °F   S at 14 kts  74 % 29.82   
 Saturday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
OccLightRain.gif 2 PM  Patchy rain possible  <1 %  90.5 °F   SSW at 5 kts  73 % 29.87   
 Sunday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
IsoRainSwrsDay.gif 2 PM  Light rain shower  <1 %  90.9 °F   WNW at 5 kts  72 % 30.01   
 ===============

7:12:53 PM
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Lightning Map

NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W *** TOP
Tides times are in Local Eastern: LST or LDT as appropriate.

DATE_DAY_TIME_PRED_FTHIGH_LOW
9/27/2022 Tue 3:43:00 AM 0.29 L
9/27/2022 Tue 9:48:00 AM 3.41 H
9/27/2022 Tue 4:12:00 PM 0.34 L
9/27/2022 Tue 10:04:00 PM 3.13 H
9/28/2022 Wed 4:20:00 AM 0.25 L
9/28/2022 Wed 10:29:00 AM 3.46 H
9/28/2022 Wed 4:56:00 PM 0.37 L
9/28/2022 Wed 10:45:00 PM 3.01 H
9/29/2022 Thu 4:59:00 AM 0.26 L
9/29/2022 Thu 11:13:00 AM 3.47 H
9/29/2022 Thu 5:43:00 PM 0.45 L
9/29/2022 Thu 11:30:00 PM 2.87 H
9/30/2022 Fri 5:43:00 AM 0.3 L
9/30/2022 Fri 12:02:00 PM 3.43 H
9/30/2022 Fri 6:36:00 PM 0.56 L

Pelican Harbour Tides    More Bahamas Tide Stations

GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA (Updated in real time from NOAA) TOP

       

             South FL Marine Point WX       Offshore Mid-Atlantic       High Seas

SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20nm to 60nm:

AMZ575-280900-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
543 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

TORNADO WATCH 545 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY
TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IN EFFECT

TONIGHT
East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with
occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 4 seconds. Showers
and chance of thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY
Tropical storm conditions expected. Southeast winds
20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 45 knots increasing to 30 to
35 knots with gusts to around 55 knots in the afternoon. Seas
5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet. A dominant period
6 seconds. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Tropical storm conditions expected. Southeast
winds 35 to 40 knots with gusts to around 60 knots. Seas 9 to
11 feet with occasional seas to 15 feet. A dominant period
6 seconds. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.

THURSDAY
Tropical storm conditions expected. South winds
35 to 40 knots diminishing to 30 to 35 knots in the afternoon.
Gusts up to 60 knots. Seas 10 to 12 feet with occasional seas to
17 feet. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Tropical storm conditions possible. South
winds 30 to 35 knots with gusts to around 55 knots diminishing to
25 to 30 knots with gusts to around 45 knots after midnight. Seas
10 to 12 feet with occasional seas to 17 feet. Showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms.

FRIDAY
South winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around
40 knots. Seas 8 to 10 feet with occasional seas to 13 feet.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

FRIDAY NIGHT
South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with
occasional seas to 10 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms.

SATURDAY
South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with
occasional seas to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT
South winds 10 knots becoming southwest after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Chance
of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

SUNDAY
Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms.

$$

Looks like Fuel docks are open:
Lighthouse Marina on Elbow Cay, Orchid bay and Treasure for sure, Green Turtle Club. MOW. Schooner Bay,

Sunset Marine in Black Sound (Gas and Diesel), Green Turtle Cay
Walkers Cay is open and selling fuel.
The Conch Inn at Marsh Harbour is now selling diesel and water to cruisers.
Restaurant not yet open but rebuilding is making good progress.
Check in with Brian, on the docks, he can assist you
Cheers, Jan S/v Bumble Bee
======

*** Cruisers Net in Hopetown ***
S/V Antares is back in Hope Town

God Bless and Best of Luck getting back in course.... BB

Watch for debris in area waters and harbors.

Mag Declination Calc
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   Local Radar

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - Updated real time ****    Hurricane models key Codes   TOP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Ian, located over the extreme southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the 
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. This activity has changed little in organization over 
the last two days. Upper-level winds still appear favorable for some 
additional development, and a short-lived tropical depression could 
still form during the next couple of days. Further development will 
become less likely by the end of the week due to increasing 
upper-level winds. The disturbance is forecast to meander for the 
next day or so and then turn north-northwestward by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
  * * * This Image is only updated when there is a new Tropical graphic by NOAA. Else figure no Activity. NOAA Tracking
AIS ships crossing your path: AIS MAP
AIS-B transponders now available for pleasure craft. Your friends can watch you cross....
VOLUNTEER AIS STATIONS NEEDED IN BAHAMAS, HIT THESE LINKS FOR MORE INFO.
AIS:Cover your area


  Sources for Wind & Significant Wave Height & Direction Graphics:     Buys Ballot's Law - for Sailors
   Wind/Wave Height Forcast         WaveWatch III forcast       Wind - Marsh Harbour
        Wind - Rocky Point, Green Turtle         Wind Predictions - Sailflow
Links: NOAA Weather by State and County         Fax symbols Fax symbols2
Naval Oceanography Portal     NOAA      Altamaha sound to Flagler beach             Flagler to Volusia     Buoy's within 200 nm     LON LAT Distance Calculator     Twilight Sunrise Calendar     FBO & Flight Services info   XYGrib file weather and Viewer
Get Free NOAA Charts and a Free chart reader to plot your trip on your PC. Chart Viewer
Emergency Preparedness Suggestions
Shortwave: Waterway Radio and Cruising Club WaterwayRadio.net
Listen in on SSB(phone) 7.238 SSB 7:45am, CW 7.047 7am , SSB 14.300 about eighteen hours a day and is always available for emergency assistance. File your Float plan and position reports.

 * Some web site references used:
    NOAA: NWS Marine Forecast   Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast
   Miami Radar Link    Melbourne Radar Link    Weather.Gov    NOAA BUOY Search

*** Tide info: NOAA - All times are listed in Local Standard Time(LST) or, Local Daylight Time (LDT), All heights are in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water
**** Provided by NOAA - Automatic update in Real-Time. Multiple - updates a day.



Weather Around MH | Tides | Passage conditions | NOAA Outlook | TOP
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