Smiley face BarometerBob.org ~ Abaco's Current Forecast    
Tuesday, September 28, 2021
( Marsh Harbour 26.54N, -77.06W , Magnetic Declination -8.39° 2019 -.07 W per year)
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SYNOPSIS for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas  1102 AM EDT Tue Sep 28 2021  

SYNOPSIS......
 The remnants of a stationary front extend from 31N65W  to the northern Bahamas. Light to gentle breezes are expected to  prevail with slight seas through Thu west of 65W. Meanwhile,  HURRICANE Sam was near 17.5N 54.3W 952 mb at 1500 UTC moving NW  at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 115 kt with gusts to 140 kt.  Sam will move to 18.2N 55.1W this evening, 19.2N 56.5W Wed  morning, 20.5N 58.1W Wed evening, 22.0N 59.6W Thu morning, 24.0N  60.9W Thu evening, and 26.6N 61.5W Fri morning. Sam will change  little in intensity as it moves north of the area by early Sat,  staying east of Bermuda. At a minimum, expect rough seas in the  outer swell from Sam from mid to late week, reaching as far west  as 70W by Thu.    

*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Tuesday, September 28, 2021
 Tuesday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
PartlyCloudyDay.gif8 AM  Partly cloudy skies  7 %  80.7 °F   NE at 11 kts  65 % 30.07   
PartlyCloudyDay.gif2 PM  Partly cloudy skies  3 %  87.3 °F   NE at 11 kts  62 % 30.06   
Sunny.gif5 PM  Sunny skies  <1 %  87.3 °F   NE at 11 kts  60 % 30.03   
Clear.gif8 PM  Clear skies  4 %  85.8 °F   NE at 11 kts  59 % 30.04   
Clear.gif11 PM  Clear skies  4 %  82.8 °F   NE at 10 kts  56 % 30.05   
 Wednesday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
Sunny.gif8 AM  Sunny skies  26 %  80.8 °F   ENE at 8 kts  55 % 30.04   
Sunny.gif2 PM  Sunny skies  2 %  86.9 °F   NE at 8 kts  59 % 30.04   
Sunny.gif5 PM  Sunny skies  33 %  86.4 °F   NE at 10 kts  60 % 30.02   
PartlyCloudyNight.gif8 PM  Partly cloudy skies  40 %  85.2 °F   NE at 12 kts  63 % 30.04   
PartlyCloudyNight.gif11 PM  Partly cloudy skies  76 %  82.3 °F   ENE at 13 kts  68 % 30.06   
 Thursday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
PartlyCloudyDay.gif8 AM  Partly cloudy skies  33 %  80.6 °F   ENE at 13 kts  66 % 30.05   
PartlyCloudyDay.gif2 PM  Partly cloudy skies  8 %  86.9 °F   ENE at 12 kts  66 % 30.07   
PartlyCloudyDay.gif5 PM  Partly cloudy skies  18 %  87.4 °F   ENE at 13 kts  67 % 30.04   
IsoRainSwrsNight.gif8 PM  Light rain shower  7 %  84.3 °F   ENE at 16 kts  69 % 30.08   
PartlyCloudyNight.gif11 PM  Partly cloudy skies  51 %  82.5 °F   ENE at 16 kts  68 % 30.1   
 Friday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
Sunny.gif8 AM  Sunny skies  3 %  81.8 °F   ENE at 17 kts  64 % 30.1   
PartlyCloudyDay.gif2 PM  Partly cloudy skies  2 %  87.8 °F   ENE at 16 kts  64 % 30.12   
PartlyCloudyDay.gif5 PM  Partly cloudy skies  34 %  88.3 °F   E at 16 kts  68 % 30.08   
IsoRainSwrsNight.gif8 PM  Light rain shower  58 %  85.7 °F   ENE at 20 kts  72 % 30.11   
IsoRainSwrsNight.gif11 PM  Light rain shower  <1 %  83.8 °F   ENE at 22 kts  67 % 30.14   
 Saturday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
Sunny.gif2 PM  Sunny skies  <1 %  85.4 °F   ENE at 17 kts  59 % 30.14   
 Sunday  Precip.  Temp   WindHumidity Barometer
PartlyCloudyDay.gif2 PM  Partly cloudy skies  6 %  85.4 °F   E at 15 kts  63 % 30.08   
 ===============

12:27:36 PM
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Lightning Map

NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W *** TOP
Tides times are in Local Eastern: LST or LDT as appropriate.

DATE_DAY_TIME_PRED_FTHIGH_LOW
9/28/2021 Tue 01:36 AM 2.31 H
9/28/2021 Tue 07:45 AM 0.95 L
9/28/2021 Tue 02:11 PM 2.79 H
9/28/2021 Tue 08:52 PM 1.10 L
9/29/2021 Wed 02:32 AM 2.25 H
9/29/2021 Wed 08:41 AM 1.01 L
9/29/2021 Wed 03:10 PM 2.78 H
9/29/2021 Wed 09:52 PM 1.12 L
9/30/2021 Thu 03:34 AM 2.27 H
9/30/2021 Thu 09:43 AM 1.01 L
9/30/2021 Thu 04:10 PM 2.84 H
9/30/2021 Thu 10:51 PM 1.05 L
10/1/2021 Fri 04:35 AM 2.38 H
10/1/2021 Fri 10:45 AM 0.93 L
10/1/2021 Fri 05:06 PM 2.95 H
10/1/2021 Fri 11:42 PM 0.91 L

Pelican Harbour Tides    More Bahamas Tide Stations

GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA (Updated in real time from NOAA) TOP

       

             South FL Marine Point WX       Offshore Mid-Atlantic       High Seas

SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20nm to 60nm:

AMZ575-282130-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
1026 AM EDT Tue Sep 28 2021

THIS AFTERNOON
Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet
with a dominant period 9 seconds. Slight chance of sprinkles.
TONIGHT
Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a
dominant period 8 seconds.

WEDNESDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to
15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant
period 8 seconds.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 feet.

THURSDAY
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Slight chance of showers.

THURSDAY NIGHT
East winds 15 knots. Seas 4 feet.

FRIDAY
East winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of
showers.

FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet.
Chance of showers.

SATURDAY
East winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of
showers.

$$

No Passages Reports relayed

Looks like Fuel docks are open:

Lighthouse Marina on Elbow Cay, Orchid bay and Treasure for sure, Green Turtle Club. MOW. Schooner Bay,
Sunset Marine in Black Sound (Gas and Diesel), Green Turtle Cay
John AKA BB
======

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Thanks to Captain Plug for manning the VHF68 for a modified Cruiser’s Net at various times.

God Bless and Best of Luck getting back in course.... BB

Watch for debris in area waters and harbors.

Mag Declination Calc
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   Local Radar

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - Updated real time ****    Hurricane models key Codes   TOP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Sam, located several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward 
Islands.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest 
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce an area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are 
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form during the next couple of days while the system 
moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the 
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a tropical wave and broad area of low pressure 
located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.  Environmental 
conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form in a day or two while the disturbance moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A well-defined low pressure area associated with the remnants 
of Peter is located about 350 miles east-northeast of Bermuda. The 
associated showers and thunderstorms have increased a little this 
morning, but are still not well organized.  This system could become 
a short-lived tropical depression while moving northeastward at 
about 10 mph before upper-level winds increase on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
NOAA Tracking
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  Sources for Wind & Significant Wave Height & Direction Graphics:     Buys Ballot's Law - for Sailors
   Wind/Wave Height Forcast         WaveWatch III forcast       Wind - Marsh Harbour
        Wind - Rocky Point, Green Turtle         Wind Predictions - Sailflow
Links: NOAA Weather by State and County         Fax symbols Fax symbols2
Naval Oceanography Portal     NOAA      Altamaha sound to Flagler beach             Flagler to Volusia     Buoy's within 200 nm     LON LAT Distance Calculator     Twilight Sunrise Calendar     FBO & Flight Services info   XYGrib file weather and Viewer
Get Free NOAA Charts and a Free chart reader to plot your trip on your PC. Chart Viewer
Emergency Preparedness Suggestions
Shortwave: Waterway Radio and Cruising Club WaterwayRadio.net
Listen in on SSB(phone) 7.238 SSB 7:45am, CW 7.047 7am , SSB 14.300 about eighteen hours a day and is always available for emergency assistance. File your Float plan and position reports.

 * Some web site references used:
    NOAA: NWS Marine Forecast   Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast
   Miami Radar Link    Melbourne Radar Link    SE Radar Loop

*** Tide info: NOAA - All times are listed in Local Standard Time(LST) or, Local Daylight Time (LDT), All heights are in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water
**** Provided by NOAA - Automatic update in Real-Time. Multiple - updates a day.



Weather Around MH | Tides | Passage conditions | NOAA Outlook | TOP
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