BarometerBob.org ~ Abaco's Current Forecast    
Thursday, October 2, 2014
( Marsh Harbour 26.54N, -77.06W )

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Abaco Cruiser's Net at 8:15 AM channel 68 VHF     Recorded Audio
SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS  438 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014  

SYNOPSIS......
 A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N63W TO 26N71W THEN  STATIONARY TO 27N80W. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N56W TO  26N67W THEN BECOME DISSIPATING STATIONARY TO 27N74W EARLY FRI  BEFORE SHIFTING E OF THE AREA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENTER NW  PORTIONS SAT...REACH FROM NEAR 31N70W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA  SUN MORNING AND WEAKEN FROM 31N66W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON  MORNING BEFORE DRIFTING NW THROUGH MON NIGHT.    

*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Updated ~ Thursday, October 2, 2014 5:00:57 AM
Thursday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 84F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.
Thursday Night
Partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms during the evening. Low 78F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.
Friday
Partly cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 84F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.
Friday Night
Some clouds early will give way to generally clear conditions overnight. Low 78F. Winds light and variable.
Saturday
Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High around 85F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy in the evening. Thunderstorms developing after midnight. Low 78F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Sunday
Thunderstorms likely in the morning. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 81F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W *** TOP

DATE_DAY_TIME_PRED_FTHIGH_LOW
10/2/2014 Thu 02:35 AM 2.7 H
10/2/2014 Thu 08:51 AM 0.6 L
10/2/2014 Thu 03:12 PM 3.2 H
10/2/2014 Thu 09:48 PM 0.7 L
10/3/2014 Fri 03:43 AM 2.8 H
10/3/2014 Fri 10:01 AM 0.6 L
10/3/2014 Fri 04:17 PM 3.3 H
10/3/2014 Fri 10:51 PM 0.5 L
10/4/2014 Sat 04:49 AM 3.0 H
10/4/2014 Sat 11:09 AM 0.4 L
10/4/2014 Sat 05:20 PM 3.4 H
10/4/2014 Sat 11:50 PM 0.3 L

Pelican Harbour Tides

More Bahamas Tide Stations

GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA (Updated in real time from NOAA) TOP

       
JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH 20nm to 60nm:

SEAS ARE PROVIDED AS A RANGE OF THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3
OF THE WAVES...ALONG WITH THE OCCASIONAL HEIGHT OF THE AVERAGE HIGHEST
10 PERCENT OF THE WAVES.



AMZ650-670-021630-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
329 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

TODAY
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET.
DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET.
DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS SMOOTH. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

FRIDAY
NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND
2 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD 5 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS SMOOTH. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

FRIDAY NIGHT
EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

SATURDAY
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

SATURDAY NIGHT
NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALONG THE
COAST TO NORTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS 3 TO
5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT
CHOP. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

SUNDAY
NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS ALONG THE COAST
TO NORTH NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS 3 TO
5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A
MODERATE CHOP.

SUNDAY NIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET
WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.

MONDAY
EAST NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET
WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 5 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.

$$

Passage conditions: (Updated by 9 AM)

Wednesday, October 1, 2014


Sea of Abaco: Neil at Ruma Kami reports a little ripple.
Whale Cay: Nothing heard.
North Man-O-War: Susan at Mermaid Point reports just a gentle roll.
South Man-War: Neil reports it’s the same as north MOW.
Tilloo Cut: Nothing heard.
Little Harbour and North Bar: Nothing heard.

Gordie at Cigatoo reminded us this winter that, on our charts and gps, 1 degree is 60 nautical miles, 1 minute is 1/60th or 6,000.076 feet, and one second is 101 feet. Thanks, Gordie!

Thanks so much to our volunteers who give these reports!

Please remember that we are just trying to help out with these reports. You are the captain of your vessel so the decision will be yours alone.
Updates thanks to Jill P.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - Updated real time **** TOP
NOAA tropical Forcast

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical low pressure system located about 350 miles
south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia, continues to produce
gale-force winds and disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  This
low is unlikely to acquire tropical cyclone characteristics due to
unfavorable environmental conditions.  Little motion of this system
is expected during the next couple of days while it interacts with
an upper-level low and an approaching cold front.  For additional
information on this system, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
A small area of low pressure located about 750 miles east-northeast
of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
low is moving rapidly toward the north-northeast and it is expected
to be over cold water tonight or Friday, which should end the
chances of tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
Barometer Lines
AIS ships crossing your path: NEW: Abaco Chart Long and Lat finder.
AIS-B transponders now available for pleasure craft. Your friends can watch you cross....
VOLUNTEER AIS STATIONS NEEDED IN BAHAMAS, HIT THESE LINKS FOR MORE INFO.
AIS:Cover your area


  Sources for Wind & Significant Wave Height & Direction Graphics:
   Wind/Wave Height Forcast         WaveWatch III forcast       Wind - Marsh Harbour
        Wind - Rocky Point, Green Turtle         Wind Predictions - Sailflow


 * Some web site references used:
  WUnderground.com
  http://www.caribwx.com/latest.html  Caribbean Weather Center: chris@mwxc.com
  Bahamas Dept of Meteorology.
  NOAA NWS Marine Forecast   Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast
  Accuweather.com    Miami Radar Link    Melbourne Radar Link    SE Radar Loop

*** Tide info: NOAA - All times are listed in Local Standard Time(LST) or, Local Daylight Time (LDT), All heights are in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water
**** Provided by NOAA - Automatic update in Real-Time. Multiple - updates a day.



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