BarometerBob.org ~ Abaco's Current Forecast    
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
( Marsh Harbour 26.54N, -77.06W )

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Abaco Cruiser's Net at 8:15 AM channel 68 VHF     Recorded Audio
SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS  1018 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014  

SYNOPSIS......
 A STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N70W THROUGH THE FAR NW  BAHAMAS AND ACROSS EXTREME S WILL DRIFT SE AND BECOME OVERTAKEN  EARLY THU BY A REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVING SE ACROSS NW PORTIONS AND  CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE THIS EVENING. THE MERGED FRONTAL BOUNDARY  WILL CONTINUE SE AND REACH FROM 31N65W TO 26N80W THU EVENING...STALL  FROM 28N65W TO 25.5N80W FRI...THEN MOVE SE AGAIN AS A COLD FRONT  SAT THROUGH SUN...REACHING FROM 26N65W TO NE COAST OF CUBA SUN  MORNING. LOW PRES MAY FORM ALONG THE FRONT FRI NIGHT WITH THE LOW  TRACKING TO THE NE ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.    

*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Updated ~ Wednesday, October 22, 2014 6:00:02 PM
Wednesday
Rain and thunder. Lows overnight in the mid 70s.
Wednesday Night
Scattered thunderstorms this evening, with a steadier rain arriving overnight. A rumble of thunder still possible. Low near 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 70%.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. High 78F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
Thursday Night
Considerable cloudiness. Occasional rain showers later at night. Low 74F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Friday
Cloudy with showers. High 79F. Winds ENE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
Friday Night
Considerable cloudiness with occasional rain showers. Low 74F. Winds ENE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90%.
Saturday
Overcast with rain showers at times. High 78F. Winds NE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W *** TOP

DATE_DAY_TIME_PRED_FTHIGH_LOW
10/22/2014 Wed 01:40 AM 0.3 L
10/22/2014 Wed 07:47 AM 3.1 H
10/22/2014 Wed 02:11 PM 0.4 L
10/22/2014 Wed 08:02 PM 2.9 H
10/23/2014 Thu 02:17 AM 0.2 L
10/23/2014 Thu 08:25 AM 3.2 H
10/23/2014 Thu 02:51 PM 0.3 L
10/23/2014 Thu 08:40 PM 2.9 H
10/24/2014 Fri 02:53 AM 0.2 L
10/24/2014 Fri 09:04 AM 3.3 H
10/24/2014 Fri 03:31 PM 0.3 L
10/24/2014 Fri 09:19 PM 2.9 H

Pelican Harbour Tides

More Bahamas Tide Stations

GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA (Updated in real time from NOAA) TOP

       
JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH 20nm to 60nm:

SEAS ARE PROVIDED AS A RANGE OF THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3
OF THE WAVES...ALONG WITH THE OCCASIONAL HEIGHT OF THE AVERAGE HIGHEST
10 PERCENT OF THE WAVES.



AMZ650-670-231445-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
933 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

REST OF TONIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS ALONG THE COAST
TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS 2 TO
3 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD 4 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

THURSDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 6 FEET.
DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

THURSDAY NIGHT
EAST NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO
5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 6 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY IN EXPOSED AREAS. SHOWERS LIKELY...
MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FRIDAY
EAST NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 6 FEET
ALONG THE COAST AND 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 9 FEET
IN THE GULF STREAM. DOMINANT PERIOD 5 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY
IN EXPOSED AREAS. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

FRIDAY NIGHT
NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALONG THE
COAST TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS
IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO
6 FEET ALONG THE COAST AND 5 TO 7 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO
9 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY IN EXPOSED
AREAS. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE EVENING.

SATURDAY
NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALONG THE COAST
TO NORTH NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS 3 TO
5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 6 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A
MODERATE CHOP. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
SEAS 2 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE COAST AND 3 TO 5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL
SEAS TO 6 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A
MODERATE CHOP.

SUNDAY NIGHT
EAST NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO
4 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 5 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT
CHOP.

MONDAY
EAST NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET
WITH OCCASIONAL SEAS TO 5 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE
CHOP. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

$$

Passage conditions: (Updated by 9 AM)





Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Sea of Abaco: Troy at Dive Guana reports it’s flat calm.
Whale Cay: Nothing heard.
North Man-O-War: Flat calm





South Man-War: Flat calm
Tilloo Cut: Nothing heard.
Little Harbour and North Bar: Nothing heard.

Gordie at Cigatoo reminded us this winter that, on our charts and gps, 1 degree is 60 nautical miles, 1 minute is 1/60th or 6,000.076 feet, and one second is 101 feet. Thanks, Gordie!

Thanks so much to our volunteers who give these reports!

Please remember that we are just trying to help out with these reports. You are the captain of your vessel so the decision will be yours alone.
Updates thanks to Jill P.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - Updated real time **** TOP
NOAA tropical Forcast

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nine, located over the eastern Bay of Campeche.
Shower activity associated with a large non-tropical low located
over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles south of
the western Azores has diminished.  Environmental conditions are
becoming less conducive, and the low is expected to weaken over the
next few days while it meanders.  Additional information on this
system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a
non-tropical low pressure area is developing over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico.  The low is expected to move east-northeastward,
and development into a subtropical or tropical cyclone is
unlikely due to unfavorable upper-level winds. Regardless of
development, this system is likely to cause heavy rainfall and
locally gusty winds over western Cuba, the southern portion of the
Florida Peninsula, and the Florida Keys during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO
header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW.
$$
Barometer Lines
AIS ships crossing your path: NEW: Abaco Chart Long and Lat finder.
AIS-B transponders now available for pleasure craft. Your friends can watch you cross....
VOLUNTEER AIS STATIONS NEEDED IN BAHAMAS, HIT THESE LINKS FOR MORE INFO.
AIS:Cover your area


  Sources for Wind & Significant Wave Height & Direction Graphics:
   Wind/Wave Height Forcast         WaveWatch III forcast       Wind - Marsh Harbour
        Wind - Rocky Point, Green Turtle         Wind Predictions - Sailflow


 * Some web site references used:
  WUnderground.com
  http://www.caribwx.com/latest.html  Caribbean Weather Center: chris@mwxc.com
  Bahamas Dept of Meteorology.
  NOAA NWS Marine Forecast   Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast
  Accuweather.com    Miami Radar Link    Melbourne Radar Link    SE Radar Loop

*** Tide info: NOAA - All times are listed in Local Standard Time(LST) or, Local Daylight Time (LDT), All heights are in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water
**** Provided by NOAA - Automatic update in Real-Time. Multiple - updates a day.



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