BarometerBob.org ~ Abaco's Current Forecast    
Monday, September 26, 2016
( Marsh Harbour 26.54N, -77.06W )

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*** Tropical Hurricane Graphics Below ***
** Sea turtle Inventory Needed **
SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS  1001 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016  

SYNOPSIS......
 A COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS WATERS N OF  29N THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER SE WATERS  WED AND THU AS A STRONG TROPICAL LOW PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA...  THEN INCREASE NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO FRI AS THE LOW  SHIFTS FURTHER WEST.    

*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Monday, September 26, 2016
tstorms   
   Monday:     80% Precip.  
   Isolated thunderstorms during the morning becoming more widespread this afternoon. High 86F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.
nt_chancetstorms   
   Monday Night:     30% Precip.  
   Isolated thunderstorms early, then mainly cloudy after midnight. Low 77F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.
chancetstorms   
   Tuesday:     50% Precip.  
   Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then cloudy skies late. High near 85F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
nt_chancetstorms   
   Tuesday Night:     50% Precip.  
   Partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms mainly before midnight. Low 78F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.
chancetstorms   
   Wednesday:     50% Precip.  
   Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms mainly in the morning. High 88F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
nt_chancetstorms   
   Wednesday Night:     30% Precip.  
   Some clouds and possibly an isolated thunderstorm after midnight. Low 78F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.
partlycloudy   
   Thursday:     20% Precip.  
   Some sun in the morning with increasing clouds during the afternoon. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 88F. Winds light and variable.
nt_chancetstorms   
   Thursday Night:     80% Precip.  
   Thunderstorms during the evening, then partly cloudy overnight. Low 78F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 80%.

2:30:26 AM

NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W *** TOP

DATE_DAY_TIME_PRED_FTHIGH_LOW
9/26/2016 Mon 05:21 AM 2.8 H
9/26/2016 Mon 11:37 AM 0.5 L
9/26/2016 Mon 05:50 PM 3.2 H
9/27/2016 Tue 12:21 AM 0.5 L
9/27/2016 Tue 06:17 AM 2.9 H
9/27/2016 Tue 12:34 PM 0.5 L
9/27/2016 Tue 06:42 PM 3.2 H
9/28/2016 Wed 01:09 AM 0.5 L
9/28/2016 Wed 07:07 AM 3.0 H
9/28/2016 Wed 01:24 PM 0.4 L
9/28/2016 Wed 07:28 PM 3.2 H

Pelican Harbour Tides    More Bahamas Tide Stations

GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA (Updated in real time from NOAA) TOP

       
JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH 20nm to 60nm:

SEAS ARE PROVIDED AS A RANGE OF THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3
OF THE WAVES...ALONG WITH THE OCCASIONAL HEIGHT OF THE AVERAGE HIGHEST
10 PERCENT OF THE WAVES.



AMZ650-670-270815-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
333 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

TONIGHT
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD
7 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TUESDAY
SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO
3 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY
. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TUESDAY NIGHT
WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO
3 FEET. DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

WEDNESDAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET.
DOMINANT PERIOD 7 SECONDS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS. SEAS
AROUND 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS SMOOTH. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

THURSDAY
SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND
2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS SMOOTH. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

THURSDAY NIGHT
SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS SMOOTH. SHOWERS LIKELY AND
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

FRIDAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS BECOMING EAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS LESS THAN 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS SMOOTH. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

FRIDAY NIGHT
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS LESS THAN 2 FEET.
INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

SATURDAY
EAST NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS AROUND
2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

$$

Passage conditions: (Updated by 9 AM)
Monday, September 26, 2016


Don’t forget sunscreen and drink lots of water.

Sea of Abaco: Troy @ Dive Guana reports "it’s a mirror".
Whale Cay Passage: Nothing heard.
North Man-O-War: Buddy @ Calypso Pointe reports a gentle roll and flat.
South Man-O-War: Nothing heard
Tilloo Cut: Nothing heard.
Little Harbour or North Bar: Nothing heard.

Please remember that we are just trying to help out with these reports. You are the captain of your vessel so the decision will be yours alone.
Updates thanks to Susan M & Jill P

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - Updated real time **** TOP
NOAA tropical Forcast

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 950 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands have increased and become slightly better organized since
yesterday.  Environmental conditions remain conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next day or two while the system moves westward to west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.  Interests in the eastern and
central Caribbean Sea, including the northern coast of South
America, should monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of
development, heavy rains and strong gusty winds, possibly to
tropical storm force, are expected to spread over the Windward
Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles beginning
late Tuesday or Wednesday. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Tuesday afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Shower activity has redeveloped in association with the remnants of
Lisa, located about 700 miles southwest of the Azores.  This system
is expected to merge with a cold front on Tuesday before
regeneration into a tropical cyclone can occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure that is
drifting westward.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be
conducive for significant development before this system moves
inland over northeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Barometer Lines
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AIS-B transponders now available for pleasure craft. Your friends can watch you cross....
VOLUNTEER AIS STATIONS NEEDED IN BAHAMAS, HIT THESE LINKS FOR MORE INFO.
AIS:Cover your area


  Sources for Wind & Significant Wave Height & Direction Graphics:
   Wind/Wave Height Forcast         WaveWatch III forcast       Wind - Marsh Harbour
        Wind - Rocky Point, Green Turtle         Wind Predictions - Sailflow
Links: NOAA Ocean Prediction Center      Weather Fax     Fax symbols Fax symbols2
Naval Oceanography Portal     NOAA      Altamaha sound to Flagler beach             Flagler to Volusia     Buoy's within 200 nm     LON LAT Distance Calculator     Twilight Sunrise Calendar     FBO & Flight Services info
Get Free NOAA Charts and a Free chart reader to plot your trip on your PC. Chart Viewer

Emergency Preparedness Suggestions
Shortwave: Waterway Radio and Cruising Club WaterwayRadio.net
Listen in on SSB(phone) 7.238 SSB 7:45am, CW 7.047 7am , SSB 14.300 about eighteen hours a day and is always available for emergency assistance. File your Float plan and position reports.

 * Some web site references used:
  WUnderground.com     NOAA: NWS Marine Forecast   Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast
   Miami Radar Link    Melbourne Radar Link    SE Radar Loop

*** Tide info: NOAA - All times are listed in Local Standard Time(LST) or, Local Daylight Time (LDT), All heights are in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water
**** Provided by NOAA - Automatic update in Real-Time. Multiple - updates a day.



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