Smiley face BarometerBob.org ~ Abaco's Current Forecast    
Monday, November 12, 2018
( Marsh Harbour 26.54N, -77.06W )

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Abaco Cruiser's Net at 8:15 AM channel 68 VHF     Recorded Audio
SYNOPSIS for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas  422 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018  

SYNOPSIS......
 A stationary front stretches E to W along 29N this  evening and will drift N of the area late today through early  Tue. A cold front will move off the SE U.S. coast late Wed,  reaching from near 31N72W to the central Bahamas and central Cuba  late Thu night into Fri. A trough S of 20N and along 59W will  move westward into the waters of the Leeward Islands this evening  and tonight with increasing thunderstorm activity, strong gusty  winds and building seas. Low pres may develop along the trough,  possibly as a tropical cyclone, eventually turning N along 70W  through the remainder of the week as the next cold front  approaches.    

*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Monday, November 12, 2018
chancerain   
   Monday:     40% Precip.  
   A few showers developing late. Lows overnight in the mid 70s.
nt_chancerain   
   Monday Night:     40% Precip.  
   Partly cloudy skies this evening. Increasing clouds with periods of showers late. Low 76F. Winds SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
partlycloudy   
   Tuesday:     20% Precip.  
   Sunshine and clouds mixed. High near 85F. Winds SE at 10 to 20 mph.
nt_tstorms   
   Tuesday Night:     50% Precip.  
   Partly cloudy in the evening followed by scattered thunderstorms after midnight. Low near 75F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
chancetstorms   
   Wednesday:     60% Precip.  
   Mixed clouds and sun with scattered thunderstorms. High 84F. Winds ESE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
nt_clear   
   Wednesday Night:     20% Precip.  
   Mostly clear skies. Low around 75F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.
chancerain   
   Thursday:     60% Precip.  
   Overcast with showers at times. High 84F. Winds SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
nt_chancerain   
   Thursday Night:     30% Precip.  
   Partly cloudy skies early giving way to a few showers after midnight. Low 73F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

4:00:24 PM

Lightning Map

NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W *** TOP
All tides times are in Eastern Standard Time - (When in daylight saving time ADD one hour - APX Mar 11th to Nov. 4th)

DATE_DAY_TIME_PRED_FTHIGH_LOW
11/12/2018 Mon 04:55 AM 0.36  L
11/12/2018 Mon 11:12 AM 2.91  H
11/12/2018 Mon 05:50 PM 0.43  L
11/12/2018 Mon 11:37 PM 2.26  H
11/13/2018 Tue 05:42 AM 0.53  L
11/13/2018 Tue 11:59 AM 2.76  H
11/13/2018 Tue 06:39 PM 0.54  L
11/14/2018 Wed 12:28 AM 2.19  H
11/14/2018 Wed 06:33 AM 0.67  L
11/14/2018 Wed 12:49 PM 2.63  H
11/14/2018 Wed 07:30 PM 0.61  L

Pelican Harbour Tides    More Bahamas Tide Stations

GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA (Updated in real time from NOAA) TOP

       
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20nm to 60nm:

AMZ575&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook">
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Small Craft Advisory

AMZ575-130930-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
955 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018


SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING

TONIGHT
Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a
dominant period 8 seconds. Chance of showers early in the
evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms.

TUESDAY
South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a
dominant period 8 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet
with a dominant period 8 seconds. Chance of showers.

WEDNESDAY
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to
5 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.

THURSDAY
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest in
the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to
15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of
showers.

FRIDAY
North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of
showers.

FRIDAY NIGHT
North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.

SATURDAY
North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

$$

Passage conditions: (Updated by 9 AM)
Monday, November 12, 2018


Sea of Abaco: Nothing heard.
Whale Cay: Nothing heard.
North Man-O-War: Nothing heard
South Man-O-War - Nothing heard
Tilloo Cut: Nothing heard.
Little Harbour or North Bar: Nothing heard

Please remember that we are just trying to help out with these reports. You are the captain of your vessel so the decision will be yours alone.
Updates thanks to Jill P

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - Updated real time **** TOP   Hurricane models key Codes

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - TOP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave that is interacting with an upper-level trough
continues to produce a large area of disturbed weather that
extends from near the Leeward Islands northeastward over the
tropical Atlantic for several hundred miles.  This system has
not become any better organized over the past 24 hours, and
environmental conditions may not become as conducive as
previously anticipated.  Therefore, the potential for this system
to become a tropical or subtropical cyclone has decreased.
Regardless of development, this system is forecast to bring locally
heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin
Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
NOAA ALL Tracked
AIS ships crossing your path: AIS MAP
AIS-B transponders now available for pleasure craft. Your friends can watch you cross....
VOLUNTEER AIS STATIONS NEEDED IN BAHAMAS, HIT THESE LINKS FOR MORE INFO.
AIS:Cover your area


  Sources for Wind & Significant Wave Height & Direction Graphics:
   Wind/Wave Height Forcast         WaveWatch III forcast       Wind - Marsh Harbour
        Wind - Rocky Point, Green Turtle         Wind Predictions - Sailflow
Links: NOAA Ocean Prediction Center     Fax symbols Fax symbols2
Naval Oceanography Portal     NOAA      Altamaha sound to Flagler beach             Flagler to Volusia     Buoy's within 200 nm     LON LAT Distance Calculator     Twilight Sunrise Calendar     FBO & Flight Services info
Get Free NOAA Charts and a Free chart reader to plot your trip on your PC. Chart Viewer

Emergency Preparedness Suggestions
Shortwave: Waterway Radio and Cruising Club WaterwayRadio.net
Listen in on SSB(phone) 7.238 SSB 7:45am, CW 7.047 7am , SSB 14.300 about eighteen hours a day and is always available for emergency assistance. File your Float plan and position reports.

 * Some web site references used:
  WUnderground.com     NOAA: NWS Marine Forecast   Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast
   Miami Radar Link    Melbourne Radar Link    SE Radar Loop

*** Tide info: NOAA - All times are listed in Local Standard Time(LST) or, Local Daylight Time (LDT), All heights are in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water
**** Provided by NOAA - Automatic update in Real-Time. Multiple - updates a day.



Weather Around MH | Tides | Passage conditions | NOAA Outlook | TOP
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