Smiley face BarometerBob.org ~ Abaco's Current Forecast    
Tuesday, September 25, 2018
( Marsh Harbour 26.54N, -77.06W )

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Abaco Cruiser's Net at 8:15 AM channel 68 VHF     Recorded Audio
SYNOPSIS for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas  412 PM EDT Tue Sep 25 2018  

SYNOPSIS......
 Low pres 1014 mb centered near 32.5N75.5W will head  northward along the coastline of the Carolinas through tonight.  High pres ridging will set up just N of 30N in the wake of this  low. Long period swell will cause seas to build E of 75W starting  Wed and persisting through this weekend.    

*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Tuesday, September 25, 2018
chancetstorms   
   Tuesday:     40% Precip.  
   Scattered thunderstorms. Lows overnight in the upper 70s.
nt_chancetstorms   
   Tuesday Night:     40% Precip.  
   Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Low 79F. Winds ESE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
partlycloudy   
   Wednesday:     20% Precip.  
   Sunshine and clouds mixed. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 87F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph.
nt_chancetstorms   
   Wednesday Night:     60% Precip.  
   Scattered thunderstorms in the evening. Partly cloudy skies overnight. Low 79F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
chancetstorms   
   Thursday:     40% Precip.  
   Mostly sunny early. Scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 87F. Winds ESE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
nt_clear   
   Thursday Night:     10% Precip.  
   A mostly clear sky. Low 79F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph.
chancetstorms   
   Friday:     40% Precip.  
   Sunny early. Scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 88F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
nt_chancetstorms   
   Friday Night:     40% Precip.  
   Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. Low 78F. Winds ENE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

3:00:24 PM

Lightning Map

NOAA TIDES Pelican Harbor, Abaco. 26° 23'N -76° 58'W *** TOP
All tides times are in Eastern Standard Time - (When in daylight saving time ADD one hour - APX Mar 11th to Nov. 4th)

DATE_DAY_TIME_PRED_FTHIGH_LOW
9/25/2018 Tue 02:05 AM 0.41  L
9/25/2018 Tue 08:04 AM 3.20  H
9/25/2018 Tue 02:23 PM 0.40  L
9/25/2018 Tue 08:21 PM 3.20  H
9/26/2018 Wed 02:40 AM 0.36  L
9/26/2018 Wed 08:42 AM 3.29  H
9/26/2018 Wed 03:03 PM 0.39  L
9/26/2018 Wed 08:58 PM 3.15  H
9/27/2018 Thu 03:16 AM 0.33  L
9/27/2018 Thu 09:21 AM 3.34  H
9/27/2018 Thu 03:44 PM 0.41  L
9/27/2018 Thu 09:37 PM 3.06  H

Pelican Harbour Tides    More Bahamas Tide Stations

GULF STREAM CROSSING CONDITIONS TO SOUTH FLORIDA (Updated in real time from NOAA) TOP

       
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20nm to 60nm:

AMZ575&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook">
Hazardous Weather Outlook

AMZ575-260830-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-
1017 PM EDT Tue Sep 25 2018

TONIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet with
a dominant period 8 seconds. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY
Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a
dominant period 8 seconds. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet
with a dominant period 8 seconds. Slight chance of showers.

THURSDAY
Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to
5 feet. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

FRIDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms.

FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet.
Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

SATURDAY
East winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT
East winds 15 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Chance
of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

SUNDAY
East winds 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

$$

Passage conditions: (Updated by 9 AM)
September 25, 2018




Sea of Abaco: Susan @ Calypso Pointe reports choppy.
Whale Cay: Nothing heard.
North Man-O-War: Susan @ Calypso Pointe reports 2-4’ roll and 1-2’ chop.
South Man-O-War : Nothing heard.
Tilloo Cut: Nothing heard.
North Bar: Nothing heard.
Little Harbour: Nothing heard.

Thanks to all who call in these reports!

Please remember that we are just trying to help out with these reports. You are the captain of your vessel so the decision will be yours alone.

Updates thanks to Susan and Jill

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - Updated real time **** TOP   Hurricane models key Codes

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK from NOAA - TOP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 25 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that the circulation associated with the low pressure area
centered about 175 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina,
has become better defined.  However, the associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, and the low has not yet
developed into a tropical depression.  Some additional development
is possible tonight as the low moves northward near or over portions
of extreme eastern North Carolina.  After tonight, development
appears unlikely due to strong upper-level winds while the system
moves generally north-northeastward near the eastern United States
coast. Regardless of development, this system is likely to bring
scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions of eastern South
Carolina and eastern North Carolina tonight.  In addition, dangerous
surf conditions and rip currents are expected along portions of the
North Carolina coast tonight.  For more information, please see
products from your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

The remnants of Kirk are located about 750 miles east of the
Windward Islands and are moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 mph.
The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little
better organized during the last several hours, however, the
system still appears to lack a closed circulation.  This disturbance
is likely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone during the next day
or two before it moves into an area of highly unfavorable
upper-level winds as it approaches the Caribbean Sea.  Interests in
the Windward and Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this
disturbance as gusty winds and locally heavy rains are likely over
the next couple of days even if the system does not redevelop into a
tropical cyclone.  For more information on this system, see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie is currently centered about 950 miles
southwest of the Azores Islands, and it is forecast to meander over
the central Atlantic for the next day or so.  By Thursday or
Friday, Leslie is expected to reacquire subtropical or tropical
characteristics while the cyclone moves slowly eastward to
east-northeastward over the north-central Atlantic. For more
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
NOAA ALL Tracked
AIS ships crossing your path: AIS MAP
AIS-B transponders now available for pleasure craft. Your friends can watch you cross....
VOLUNTEER AIS STATIONS NEEDED IN BAHAMAS, HIT THESE LINKS FOR MORE INFO.
AIS:Cover your area


  Sources for Wind & Significant Wave Height & Direction Graphics:
   Wind/Wave Height Forcast         WaveWatch III forcast       Wind - Marsh Harbour
        Wind - Rocky Point, Green Turtle         Wind Predictions - Sailflow
Links: NOAA Ocean Prediction Center     Fax symbols Fax symbols2
Naval Oceanography Portal     NOAA      Altamaha sound to Flagler beach             Flagler to Volusia     Buoy's within 200 nm     LON LAT Distance Calculator     Twilight Sunrise Calendar     FBO & Flight Services info
Get Free NOAA Charts and a Free chart reader to plot your trip on your PC. Chart Viewer

Emergency Preparedness Suggestions
Shortwave: Waterway Radio and Cruising Club WaterwayRadio.net
Listen in on SSB(phone) 7.238 SSB 7:45am, CW 7.047 7am , SSB 14.300 about eighteen hours a day and is always available for emergency assistance. File your Float plan and position reports.

 * Some web site references used:
  WUnderground.com     NOAA: NWS Marine Forecast   Caribbean Sea Offshore Waters Forecast
   Miami Radar Link    Melbourne Radar Link    SE Radar Loop

*** Tide info: NOAA - All times are listed in Local Standard Time(LST) or, Local Daylight Time (LDT), All heights are in feet referenced to Mean Lower Low Water
**** Provided by NOAA - Automatic update in Real-Time. Multiple - updates a day.



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